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futurist_fieldguide:causal_layered_analysis [2015-05-19 10:24] – created majafuturist_fieldguide:causal_layered_analysis [2015-05-19 13:02] maja
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-==== Causal Layered Analysis ==== 
  
-(a short introduction/overview)+=== Causal Layered Analysis (CLA) === 
 + 
 +Causal Layered Analysis is futures research method focusing on in-depth analysis of current issues and identifying alternative futures. The analysis happens in four levels: litany, social or systemic causes, discourse/worldview and myth/metaphor. Litany identifies current issues, assumptions, facts and data. In the next layer the social or systemic causes underlying the 'litany' are analysed. In the discourse layer the dominant worldviews and mindsets are examined, which give rise to the issues. The deepest layer looks at the foundational myths, metaphors and archetypes that influence the unconscious and/or emotional undertone beneath the issues.  
 + 
 +After understanding the layered causes of an issue, the method suggest to look at alternatives - either within each layer or beginning with a new myth/metaphor and working up through the layers to create an alternative scenario. From the scenario new possibilities can be distilled and translated into solutions, policies, and other types of actions that one can begin implementing in the present.  
 + 
 +<html><a href="https://38.media.tumblr.com/7aca57b3f430dad3779e1a054584edd0/tumblr_inline_mzybcuGj911qc578m.jpg"><img src="https://38.media.tumblr.com/7aca57b3f430dad3779e1a054584edd0/tumblr_inline_mzybcuGj911qc578m.jpg"></a></html> 
  
 === Process === === Process ===
  
-(a step by step process)+CLA abridged: 
 +  * Step 1: define the issue (or question) 
 +  * Step 2: Discuss each layer separately (litany, systemic, worldview, myth/metaphor) 
 +  * Step 3: Cluster into themes (ideally 1-2 themes per layer) 
 +  * Step 4: After reaching the bottom layer, pick different myth/narrative and create a scenario by moving up the other layers, up to the new events and behaviours in 'litany'
 + 
 +In detail: 
 + 
 +__**Phase I: Uncovering Causality**__ 
 + 
 +{{page>:futurist_fieldguide/uncovering_causality#process}} 
 + 
 + 
 +__**Phase II: Discovering Alternatives**__ (scenario building) 
 + 
 +{{page>:futurist_fieldguide/discovering_alternatives#process}} 
  
 ==== References ==== ==== References ====
  
-(list of references and/or further reading)+ 
 +  * [[http://scenariosforsustainability.org/recipes/cla.html|Scenarios for sustainability]] 
 +  * [[http://proutglobal.info/slideshows/training/Related%20web%20pages/002-Casual_Layered_Analysis.pdf|Causal Layered Analysis: Poststructuralism as method]] 
 +  * [[http://metafuture.org/cla%20papers/Inayatullah%20%20Causal%20layered%20analysis%20-%20theory,%20historical%20context,%20and%20case%20studies.%20Intro%20chapter%20from%20The%20CLA%20Reader..pdf|CLA Reader]]
  
  • futurist_fieldguide/causal_layered_analysis.txt
  • Last modified: 2021-01-28 19:20
  • by maja